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COVID-19 has impacted perhaps no industry in such a complex way as healthcare. Join Mark Dietrich in this discussion of items to consider before you forecast the likely impact on the healthcare industry of the current crisis. First, it is necessary to understand where the industry was before COVID-19 and then to understand what the crisis revealed about the allocation of resources. Second, you need to consider where future spending will be directed and how that future spending will drive cash flow and value. All valuation is forward-looking, and the history we rely upon in forecasting may no longer serve us well.
Program Agenda
Valuation date and subsequent events (Dec. 31, 2019, vs. Feb. 29, 2020, vs. March 31, 2020)
Cost of capital considerations
Income approach (cash flow)
Market approach
SBA loan programs and impact to BV analysis
Family law considerations
Practice development areas
Financial projections—impact on growth rates, margins
DLOMs
Decline in inpatient beds
Decline in inpatient days for several decades
Growth in outpatient services
Regulatory burden
All healthcare is local
Supply chain
Revelations about the healthcare industry
Responses of the industry, government, payers, and consumers
The impact on value
Learning Objectives
Describe some areas of impact of COVID-19 on valuation
Restate impacts of SBA loan programs
Describe potential impact of the COVID-19 on cost of capita
List different regulatory burdens
Describe revelations about the healthcare industry and supply chain
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