Getting Better Probability Estimates from Your Clients: A Practical Approach
BVR's Webinar Series
Thursday, November 9, 2017
10:00am-11:40am PT • 1:00pm-2:40pm ET
The recording and transcript for this webinar are available to subscribers:
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- Current approach to probability estimates
- Hidden bias that lead to errors in probability estimates
- Probability encoding
- Interview structure
- Backcasting and Headlining
- Verbal techniques
- Visual techniques
- Question & Answers
- Understand the shortcomings of current practice in probability assessment
- Recognize and deal with hidden bias in probability estimates
- Apply a more organized approach to probability assessment
- Understand how to provide their clients and reviewers with a better understanding of how probability estimates were developed and tested
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