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In the ongoing search for simple, easy-to-explain valuation methods, many appraisers have given wide berth to Monte Carlo simulations, fearing their perceived complexity and unsure of their proper implementation. In doing so, valuable insights and metrics are being ignored, potentially at the peril of the appraiser.
The "Advanced Workshop on Monte Carlo Simulations" tackles these misperceptions and misapprehensions head on in an intensive, four-hour interactive presentation. Through four case studies, experts David Dufendach, Randy Heng, and Oksana Westerbeke show how to properly utilize Monte Carlo simulations when valuing warrants whose underlying assets are common stock or enterprise value, and when valuing a business opportunity for a buyout/restructuring or in an IPR&D project. From start to finish, Dufendach, Heng, and Westerbeke will lead attendees through how to put Monte Carlo simulations to use in this can't-miss presentation.
Program Agenda
Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulations
When Monte Carlo simulations may be appropriate
Why Monte Carlo simulations may be appropriate
Case Studies
Valuation of a derivative: valuation of a warrant with anti-dilution features from two different perspectives:
A simulation in which the underlying asset is the common stock of the issuing company
A simulation in which the underlying asset is the enterprise value of the issuing company
Valuation of a business opportunity
A simulation of a leveraged buyout/restructuring, in which the primary variable of interest is the capital structure
A simulation of an IPR&D project, in which the variable of interest is the technological risk
Conclusion and Q&A
Learning Objectives
Learn how and when to use Monte Carlo simulations
Learn how to apply Monte Carlo simulations when valuing derivatives under a variety of circumstances
Learn how to apply Monte Carlo simulations when valuing business opportunities under a variety of circumstances
Define the best uses and applications of Monte Carlo simulations as well as how they can be utilized for your current projects
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